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The SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

Notes on the SC2K5 Extrapolated Standings

The Base Link values were obtained by doing least squares computations comparing character strengths from SC2K4 to SC2K5. A least squares that included the following characters (which I selected as the most logical to use): Crono, Mega Man, Sonic, Zero, Ryu, Vivi, Kefka, Solid Snake, Sora, Alucard Resulted in an optimal scalar of 1.102384. This scalar ends up being very similar to keeping Kefka, Crono, Mega Man, Cloud, or Vivi constant. If you use the characters above but exclude Sora and Alucard, you get an optimal scalar of 1.075213. This ends up essentially being the same thing as keeping Link constant (from 2K4 to 2K5). If you do not include Sora, Alucard, or Solid Snake, then you get an optimal scalar of 1.092791. Once again, this ends up being similar to keeping Kefka, Crono, Mega Man, Cloud or Vivi constant. In my opinion the 1.092791 scalar makes the most sense. And once again I would rather go the simple path of keeping one character constant than using a calculated scalar. To me, Crono and Cloud make the most sense for this purpose. For the values below, I chose to keep Crono constant (i.e., the scalar used was 1.091172343).
Extrapolated Rank Character Expected % Against Link Expected % Against Base Link Division Seed Expected Seed
1 Link
50.00%
54.56%
 ToC 1 1
2 Cloud Strife
47.56%
51.90%
 ToC 1 1
3 Sephiroth
45.06%
49.16%
 ToC 1 1
4 Mario
39.59%
43.20%
 Mushroom 1 1
5 Crono
36.54%
39.87%
 Flood 2 1
6 Mega Man
35.55%
38.79%
 20XX 1 1
7 Sonic the Hedgehog
35.28%
38.50%
 Chaos 1 1
8 Solid Snake
33.88%
36.97%
 Gear 1 1
9 Bowser
33.49%
36.54%
 Dream 3 1
10 Vincent Valentine
32.60%
35.58%
 Devil 5 1
11 Squall Leonhart
32.22%
35.16%
 Devil 2 2
12 Kirby
32.06%
34.99%
 Dream 1 2
13 Samus
31.84%
34.74%
 Zebes 1 1
14 Zelda
30.89%
33.71%
 Gear 5 2
15 Tifa Lockheart
30.77%
33.57%
 Chaos 3 2
16 Dante
29.99%
32.73%
 Devil 1 3
17 Knuckles
29.77%
32.49%
 Devil 6 4
18 Zero
29.41%
32.09%
 Mushroom 3 2
19 Magus
29.26%
31.93%
 Devil 3 5
20 Luigi
28.70%
31.32%
 Chaos 2 3
21 Master Chief
28.29%
30.87%
 Flood 1 2
22 Donkey Kong
27.84%
30.38%
 Flood 4 3
23 Ryu
27.47%
29.98%
 Dream 2 3
24 Tidus
27.16%
29.63%
 Dream 4 4
25 Ganondorf
25.69%
28.03%
 Zebes 3 2
26 Leon Kennedy
25.20%
27.50%
 20XX 5 2
27 Vivi
24.98%
27.26%
 Gear 4 3
28 Rikku
24.33%
26.55%
 Dream 7 5
29 Auron
23.58%
25.73%
 Zebes 2 3
30 Sora
23.54%
25.69%
 Gear 2 4
31 Chun Li
22.84%
24.92%
 Dream 6 6
32 Yoshi
22.69%
24.76%
 20XX 3 3
33 Diablo
22.20%
24.22%
 Chaos 5 4
34 Ryu Hayabusa
21.76%
23.75%
 Mushroom 6 3
35 Tommy Vercetti
21.30%
23.25%
 Flood 6 4
36 Alucard
21.02%
22.94%
 Gear 6 5
37 Gordon Freeman
20.88%
22.78%
 20XX 4 4
38 Kefka
20.82%
22.71%
 Flood 3 5
39 Yuna
19.93%
21.75%
 Zebes 6 4
40 Sam Fisher
19.62%
21.41%
 Flood 5 6
41 KOS-MOS
19.52%
21.30%
 Chaos 7 5
42 Kratos Aurion
19.19%
20.94%
 Chaos 4 6
43 Frog
19.07%
20.81%
 Zebes 5 5
44 Kratos
18.70%
20.40%
 Gear 3 6
45 Riku
18.43%
20.11%
 Zebes 4 6
46 CATS
17.64%
19.24%
 Flood 8 7
47 Terra
17.10%
18.65%
 Devil 8 6
48 Conker
17.05%
18.61%
 20XX 8 5
49 Zidane
17.02%
18.57%
 Flood 7 8
50 Jin Kazama
16.83%
18.37%
 Chaos 8 7
51 Geno
16.22%
17.69%
 Devil 7 7
52 Cecil
15.90%
17.35%
 Dream 8 7
53 Lloyd Irving
15.73%
17.17%
 Mushroom 2 4
54 Joanna Dark
15.12%
16.50%
 Mushroom 8 5
55 King of all Cosmos
14.91%
16.27%
 Dream 5 8
56 Albert Wesker
14.26%
15.56%
 Mushroom 7 6
57 Agent 47
13.78%
15.04%
 Gear 7 7
58 Sarah Kerrigan
13.70%
14.95%
 Devil 4 8
59 Ness
13.62%
14.86%
 Mushroom 4 7
60 Vyse
13.50%
14.73%
 Chaos 6 8
61 Big Boss
13.45%
14.68%
 Zebes 7 7
62 Pac-Man
12.33%
13.45%
 20XX 7 6
63 Carl Johnson
12.22%
13.33%
 Mushroom 5 8
64 Revolver Ocelot
12.02%
13.12%
 20XX 2 7
65 Laharl
11.96%
13.05%
 20XX 6 8
66 Manny Calavera
10.78%
11.76%
 Gear 8 8
67 Yuri
08.07%
08.81%
 Zebes 8 8